{“summary”: “Children in the Western Cape are facing a scary immunity gap, meaning many are not getting their important vaccines. This problem started because of tough lockdowns, fears about sickness, and even fake news online. Now, serious diseases like measles and diphtheria are making a comeback, putting tiny lives in danger. Doctors and nurses are working super hard to catch up, using new ways to reach families and make sure every child gets their vital shots. They are fighting to protect the little ones, making sure they grow up strong and healthy.”}
Various factors contribute to the decline in childhood vaccinations in the Western Cape, including: the hard lockdown in April 2020, fear of contracting COVID-19, inability to afford taxi fares to clinics, social-media misinformation, riots, floods, and rolling blackouts. These issues have led to a significant drop in vaccination rates, leaving many children vulnerable to preventable diseases like measles and diphtheria.
Sister Nolusindiso Mankayi keeps two tatty exercise books on her desk in Site B, Khayelitsha: one lists the babies who arrived for their jabs, the other records the ones who vanished. On the first Friday of October she scribbled “17 absent” beside names circled in scarlet – infants who never showed for the 6-, 10- or 14-week antigens. “That’s practically a whole classroom of newborns left naked against measles – or diphtheria,” she mutters, snapping the book closed. Her irritation echoes across the province: the latest weekly bulletin reveals that only 67.4 % of children born in 2024 had completed the under-one schedule by their first birthday, down from 82 % five years earlier. With herd immunity fixed at 95 %, about 18 000 small Capetonians are still circulating in shopping malls, taxis and creches while measles virus – already back in local spread – hunts for the next unguarded host.
The slump did not arrive overnight. April 2020’s hard lockdown froze routine services; when doors reopened, caregivers balked at travelling, frightened of catching COVID-19 or simply unable to afford taxi fare. Western Cape’s electronic register (EVR) instantly flagged the damage: PCV3 coverage dropped 14 percentage points in eight months. Weekend pop-up tables in malls clawed back a third of the losses, but riots in July 2021, floods in 2022, rolling black-outs and a tidal wave of social-media scare stories kept the graph pointing south. By last year the system was counting 4 000 “zero-dose” babies every quarter – double the pre-pandemic baseline – while fragments of measles, diphtheria and vaccine-derived polio turned up in sewage and sputum samples.
Diphtheria is uglier. A 10-year-old boy from Kraaifontein died in March 2023 before flying in the antitoxin. His isolate carried a turbo-charged tox gene, spelling out 1.5 times the usual poison. One hundred and one respiratory cases and 44 skin carriers have since followed, ten of them fatal. Three victims were younger than 15, casualties of sluggish DTP booster uptake: only 63 % of toddlers return for the 18-month shot and school-entry boosters drift even later.
Environmental sentinels keep flagging vaccine-derived polio type-2 in Mitchells Plain and Goodwood, a sure sign population immunity is leaky. HPV doses for Grade-5 girls have slipped to 56 %, teeing up a future surge in cervical cancer. Neonatal tetanus, once a historical footnote, claimed three farmworker babies this year – more than the entire previous decade combined.
Under-vaccination is not random. EVR heat-maps reveal Khayelitsha languishing at 52 % fully covered, Kraaifontein 58 % and rural Helderberg 61 %, while creamy suburbs such as Rondebosch clock 85 %. The steepest cliff falls between 14 weeks and nine months, when measles and PCV boosters are due; by age two only 55 % of kids are up to date. Teenage mums, households without travel grants and families living more than seven kilometres from a clinic are 2.3 times more likely to lag behind. Interviews led by the University of Cape Town show that 38 % of caregivers fear “too many shots will thin the blood”, 21 % brandish religious objections and 14 % still nurse a grudge after a rude reception. On the service side, nurse vacancy rates top 18 % in parts of Khayelitsha, hexavalent stock-outs hit 11 % of sites in July and stage-5 black-outs forced electrically gated clinics to bolt their doors on 14 afternoons that same month.
Provincial planners have responded with a three-tier blitz. Fixed clinics now stay open until 18:30 twice a week, 42 shopping malls host “Saturday shot shops” and 86 private pharmacies have been deputised under section 21a of the Medicines Act. Twelve solar-powered “Mom-and-Baby buses” tour 250 informal settlements; in mid-November alone they pushed 13 457 injections and 9 201 vitamin-A capsules into tiny arms. Community health workers armed with GIS tablets knock on doors in Khayelitsha and Mitchells Plain, converting 77 % of reluctant parents on the doorstep. Springbok flanker Sikhumbuzo Notshe lends his voice note to WhatsApp groups and a TikTok #ShotSho challenge clocked 2.3 million views in ten days.
Cold-chain engineers have rolled out solar direct-drive fridges with lithium back-ups that keep 4.2 °C even when Eskom dims the lights; vaccine wastage has fallen from 5.7 % to 2.1 %, saving R4.2 million a year. Meanwhile, lawyers gear up for a 2026 court clash: the Western Cape Education Department will demand either immunisation proof or a medical exemption before Grade-R enrolment, while civil-rights groups vow to defend constitutional access to school. Treasury has ring-fenced R198 million for 2025/26, including R42 million for extra hexavalent stock and R8 million for data bundles so health workers can keep tablets online in the field.
Trials under way at Tygerberg Hospital hint at tomorrow’s tools: a hexavalent–MMR combo that collapses six shots into two visits, a heat-stable diphtheria–tetanus microneedle patch and an RSV vaccine for pregnant women that could halve newborn hospitalisations. Machine-learning models that marry clinic data to soccer fixtures and social-grant calendars are already boosting retrieval rates in Delft by 28 %. Nazeerah Martin, 23, feels the change first-hand; she arrived with her four-month-old twins after a CHW’s voice note warned that uncaught shots could block crèche admission next year. Inside Brown’s Farm clinic nurse Prudence Gaba wheels a fridge whose LED reads a steady 4.2 °C. “We’re chasing herd immunity one tiny thigh at a time,” she laughs, as a cartoon rugby ball on the wall urges parents to “pass the immunity forward.”
Various factors contribute to the decline in childhood vaccinations in the Western Cape, including: the hard lockdown in April 2020, fear of contracting COVID-19, inability to afford taxi fares to clinics, social-media misinformation, riots, floods, and rolling blackouts. These issues have led to a significant drop in vaccination rates, leaving many children vulnerable to preventable diseases like measles and diphtheria.
This immunity gap has severe consequences, including the resurgence of serious and potentially fatal diseases. Measles, diphtheria, and vaccine-derived polio are now making a comeback, putting children’s lives at risk. There’s also a potential future surge in cervical cancer due to decreased HPV vaccination rates and an increase in neonatal tetanus cases.
Healthcare workers face numerous challenges, including high nurse vacancy rates, vaccine stock-outs, and disruptions caused by load shedding (rolling blackouts) which force clinics to close. They also contend with parental fears, misinformation, and logistical barriers like difficulty affording transport to clinics.
Provincial planners are employing a multi-faceted approach. This includes extending clinic hours, setting up ‘Saturday shot shops’ in shopping malls, and deputizing private pharmacies to administer vaccines. They also use solar-powered ‘Mom-and-Baby buses’ to reach informal settlements and deploy community health workers with GIS tablets for door-to-door outreach. Digital campaigns featuring local heroes and social media challenges are also being used.
Technology plays a crucial role. The electronic vaccination register (EVR) helps identify areas and age groups with low coverage. Solar direct-drive fridges with lithium back-ups ensure vaccine viability during power outages. Community health workers use GIS tablets for real-time data collection and parent engagement. Machine-learning models are also being trialed to predict and improve retrieval rates for missed appointments.
Future plans include preparing for a 2026 court challenge regarding mandatory immunisation proof for Grade-R enrolment. Financially, significant funds have been ring-fenced for 2025/26 to procure extra vaccine stock and ensure data connectivity for field workers. Innovations under trial include a hexavalent–MMR combo vaccine to reduce clinic visits, a heat-stable diphtheria–tetanus microneedle patch, and an RSV vaccine for pregnant women to protect newborns.
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